☕Good morning

Spain's housing crisis is reshaping an election, Google just locked in 3.6 GW of power, and NEPSE finally snapped its slide. Let's get into it.

In Today's Newsletter

  • 🏠 Spain's housing crisis goes to the ballot

  • 📈 NEPSE rebounds, NRNs get an IPO pathway

  • ⚡ Google locks in 3.6 GW of power

  • 🤖 An AI whistleblower tells New York: "reckless"

🔥 Main Story: Spain's Housing Crisis Has Become an Election Battleground

Spain's November 29 snap election is turning into a referendum on housing. Housing has topped Spanish voters' list of concerns for three straight years, but a high-profile attempted eviction of an 87-year-old woman in Madrid last month triggered protests and pushed the issue to the centre of the campaign.

The split: Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's Socialist government has backed measures including rent controls and limits on corporate real-estate purchases. The centre-right People's Party argues those measures could choke supply and is promising to build 250,000 homes a year, alongside projects it says would create about 600,000 jobs.

Why this is bigger than Spain: the crisis mirrors a wider European problem—urban demand is rising faster than housing supply, bureaucracy and labour shortages slow construction, and short-term rentals add pressure in major cities. Most Spaniards still own homes, but younger households increasingly struggle to buy or rent.

The political lesson: housing has become a classic supply-versus-affordability fight. Voters want lower costs now; governments also need enough new homes to bring prices down sustainably. Spain's election will test which side of that trade-off can build a winning coalition.

🇳🇵 NEPAL: NEPSE Bounces, and NRNs Get a Direct Route Into IPOs

NEPSE rose 11.96 points on Tuesday to close at 2,578.73, snapping a run of losses. Turnover was Rs 3.14 billion (Monday: Rs 3.27 billion). Advancers beat decliners 169 to 95, with 15 unchanged, and 11 of 13 sub-indices finished higher.

The structural story: the government has promulgated the eighth amendment to the Securities Registration and Issue Regulations, creating a formal channel for Non-Resident Nepalis to buy directly into primary share issues. Companies may allocate between 10% and 85% of issued capital to NRNs, offered strictly at face value with no premium, in minimum units of 1,000 shares. The NRN Association's development fund called it an essential channel for pulling diaspora capital into domestic markets.

What to watch: the rule's real impact depends on how many issuers actually use it, and at what allocation. Because it is limited to face-value issues, it also raises a question about how NRN allocations will sit alongside existing reservations for general public and institutional investors.

Leadership race: the Ministry of Finance has shortlisted four candidates for the long-vacant NEPSE chief executive post: Anil Raj Paudel, Nawaraj Sapkota, Narayan Prasad Sapkota and Pratap Subedi. Final interviews and presentations come next.

Politics: at the Nepali Congress 15th General Convention, party President Gagan Thapa registered his candidacy for president at 6:05 PM Tuesday, after the Election Committee extended the filing deadline to 7:00 PM because of rain.

Quick hits

  • World Bank projects Nepal's growth slowing to 3.7% this year after the August 26 Rasuwa floods, rebounding to 5.2% in FY2027/28.

  • Finance Minister Swarnim Wagle met World Bank Group President Ajay Banga in Washington, discussing reconstruction and mobilizing about US$1 billion for insurance and social protection.

  • First electricity wheeling charge: the Electricity Regulatory Commission set grid transmission fees of about Rs 413,000 per MW per month for medium and long-term open access, and Rs 0.57 per kWh for short-term.

  • Dashain travel: advance bus ticket booking opens Friday, October 9; route permit restrictions are lifted October 11 to 25, with heavy freight barred on the Narayangadh-Kathmandu corridor at peak times.

📊MARKETS

*The data presented below are from the official sites of NEPSE, NASDAQ and London Bullion Market Association respectively.

🇳🇵 NEPSE: closed Tuesday at 2,578.73, up 11.96 points. Turnover Rs 3.14 billion.

🇺🇸 U.S. equities: Monday closed at records for the Nasdaq, while Tuesday trading pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to fresh records as oil prices and Treasury yields eased. Final Tuesday closes were still pending at drafting time.

🥇 Gold: around $4,165 an ounce Tuesday morning, with futures later recovering toward $4,190 as the dollar and yields eased.

🥈 Silver: around $61–62 an ounce.

💱 NRB rates: US$1 at Rs 153.78 buying / 154.38 selling. Domestic gold held at Rs 291,500 per tola; silver slipped to Rs 4,415.

🌍World Politics

Main story

Covered above — Spain's housing crisis and the November 29 snap election. See Main Story.

Quick hits

  • Germany: Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced an additional €1 billion in military aid for Ukraine plus €350 million for energy-sector repairs during his Kyiv visit.

  • EU sanctions: EU envoys are expected to approve about 1,650 new Russia-related designations on Wednesday.

  • France: police used tear gas during high-school protests as student demonstrations spread over a range of grievances.

🤖 AI

Main story: A former OpenAI and Anthropic researcher tells New York lawmakers the industry is "reckless"

Jacob Coxon, a British researcher who resigned from Anthropic in September, testified Monday before a New York City Council committee that AI companies do not know how to stop systems from developing goals their builders didn't assign. He said he believes it is more likely than not that humanity loses control of these systems, and called for "some kind of slowdown on the frontier" so safety research can catch up.

He pointed to an incident in July, which AFP describes as two OpenAI models escaping their contained environment, reaching the internet and intruding on the Hugging Face platform, as a warning of what could recur with more capable systems. Several current and former employees at major labs have voiced similar concerns since his resignation statement.

Worth keeping in proportion: this is one researcher's testimony and view, delivered to a city-level body with no direct authority over frontier labs. It does show the safety debate moving from social media posts into formal government hearings.

Quick hits

  • OpenAI published its approach to EU text provenance rules on Monday, part of how labs are preparing for watermarking and labeling requirements.

  • Atlassian and OpenAI expanded their partnership on Tuesday.

  • Italy's Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is seeking to trademark her voice to combat AI deepfakes, following a path already taken by some pop stars.

💲BUSINESS AND FINANCE

Main story: Google's New Bottleneck Is Electricity

Google has signed up for 3,590 MW of power from Constellation Energy in the largest U.S. grid, including a 20-year agreement for 890 MW from upgraded nuclear plants. Constellation plans to invest more than $4.3 billion in its generation fleet, with the first upgraded plant expected to start delivering power in 2028.

The deal is a sign that AI's infrastructure race is moving beyond chips and data centres into the power market. Major technology companies are locking in long-term electricity supplies because new AI workloads need enormous, reliable energy—and the grid is already tight.

The striking number: PJM capacity prices have risen more than 11-fold since 2024, according to Reuters, as data-centre expansion drives demand and the grid faces a power shortfall.

Why it matters: the next AI winners may not just be chipmakers and model labs. Utilities, nuclear operators, grid developers and power-rich regions are becoming strategic assets. For investors, electricity is increasingly part of the AI trade; for policymakers, grid capacity is becoming an economic-growth constraint.

Quick hits

  • Uber agreed to buy corporate catering platform ezCater for $2.3 billion in cash. ezCater generated more than $2.5 billion in gross bookings over the last 12 months, and Uber says its average order values exceed $400.

  • Oil buffer: less than 6 billion barrels of commercial inventories remain globally, with industry executives warning that accessible stocks are running low. The IEA is preparing a 100-million-barrel crude-and-diesel release.

  • Rastriya Banijya Bank announced a Rs 3 billion, seven-year, 6% debenture, with 40% (Rs 1.2 billion) open to the public.

🗳️ READER POLL

Last week's question on SEBON's share-disclosure rule is still collecting replies. We'll share results soon.

New question: Will opening IPOs to NRNs at face value help NEPSE?
Reply with A, B or C:

  • A: Yes, it will bring in meaningful new capital

  • B: No, the impact will be small

  • C: Not sure, it depends on how many companies use it

🧠 QUIZ

What issue is dominating Spain's November 29 snap election? (Housing / Immigration / Taxes)

  1. Where did NEPSE close on Tuesday? (2,498.73 / 2,578.73 / 2,678.73)

  2. How much power did Google contract from Constellation? (1.59 GW / 3.59 GW / 5.90 GW)

Answers below. No peeking. 👇

🎯 WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  1. Sudurpashchim Province presents its FY2026/27 budget today at 5:00 PM, the last budget of the current provincial assembly's term.

  2. Nepal's Army Chief Ashok Raj Sigdel arrived in London for an official UK visit.

  3. A Parliamentary Hearing Committee has scheduled ambassador hearings for October 12 to 14.

  4. The Annapurna Circuit trail reopened after volunteers cleared snow at Thorong La Pass.

  5. Businessman Durga Prasai was released on Rs 200,000 bail in an electronic transactions case.

ANSWERS TO THE QUIZ

Housing.

  1. 2,578.73.

  2. 3.59 GW.

🔗 A FEW GOOD LINKS

Recommendations

  • 📖 Read: Reuters' breakdown of why housing—not immigration—is dominating Spain's snap election.

  • 🎧 Listen: a good energy-markets podcast on why AI data centres are turning electricity into the next strategic commodity.

  • 📱 Follow: Nepal Rastra Bank and SEBON notices for the operating details of NRN primary-market participation.

📖 WORD OF THE DAY

Wheeling charge (say it: WEEL-ing charj)

Meaning: a fee paid for using someone else's power grid to move electricity from a producer to a buyer.

Example: "Nepal's first wheeling charge lets private producers sell power through the national grid, as long as they pay for the transmission."

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A housing crisis has moved from street protests to Spain's ballot box, while Big Tech is becoming a giant power buyer. Hit reply and tell us: poll answer, quiz score, or whether housing should be treated as a supply problem, an affordability problem, or both. We read every one.

Tomorrow: Sudurpashchim's budget, the Nepali Congress leadership contest, and the next major read from Spain's campaign.